An Empirical Mode Decomposition Approach to Peak Load Demand Forecasting
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Short Term Load Forecasting Using Empirical Mode Decomposition, Wavelet Transform and Support Vector Regression
The Short-term forecasting of electric load plays an important role in designing and operation of power systems. Due to the nature of the short-term electric load time series (nonlinear, non-constant, and non-seasonal), accurate prediction of the load is very challenging. In this article, a method for short-term daily and hourly load forecasting is proposed. In this method, in the first step, t...
متن کاملEmpirical Mode Decomposition–Least Squares Support Vector Machine Based for Water Demand Forecasting
Accurate forecast of water demand is one of the main problems in developing management strategy for the optimal control of water supply system. In this paper, a hybrid model which combines empirical mode decomposition (EMD) and least square support vector machine (LSSVM) model is proposed to forecast water demand. This hybrid is formulated specifically to address in modelling water demand that ...
متن کاملSupport Vector Regression Model Based on Empirical Mode Decomposition and Auto Regression for Electric Load Forecasting
Electric load forecasting is an important issue for a power utility, associated with the management of daily operations such as energy transfer scheduling, unit commitment, and load dispatch. Inspired by strong non-linear learning capability of support vector regression (SVR), this paper presents a SVR model hybridized with the empirical mode decomposition (EMD) method and auto regression (AR) ...
متن کاملForecasting Peak Load Electricity Demand Using Statistics and Rule Based Approach
Problem statement: Forecasting of electricity load demand is an essential activity and an important function in power system planning and development. It is a prerequisite to power system expansion planning as the world of electricity is dominated by substantial lead times between decision making and its implementation. The importance of demand forecasting needs to be emphasized at all level as...
متن کاملPeak demand forecasting for a seasonal product using Bayesian approach
An actual demand-forecasting problem of the US apparel dealers is studied. Demand is highly fluctuating during the peak sale season and low prior to the peak season. The model is described by the continuous time stochastic process applying the Bayesian process. The standard gamma distribution is selected for the demand process and an inverse gamma distribution is chosen as the conjugate prior f...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Indian Journal of Science and Technology
سال: 2013
ISSN: 0974-6846,0974-5645
DOI: 10.17485/ijst/2013/v6i9.13